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Global Economic scenario in 2016

Astrological Assessment      By Sachin Malhotra



As per the Vedic methods, there may be a Economical slowdown starting in 2016, immediately after the Solar eclipse of 9th March. This phase may last until the end of 2019; afterwards, the trend will reverse, as both Saturn and Jupiter will be conjoined together, to bring a major change in the world-order. The collapse of the Capitalist economic system in 2016 may get replaced with a Socialist economic model, with India leading from the front, as the engine of global economy in 2020.


THE ‘Great Depression’ is a term used for the severe worldwide economic depression of the 1930s, which started with the devastating crash of the US Stock market on the 29th of October 1929. During that Great Depression, the worldwide GDP fell by 15% between the period of 1929 to 1932 and the international trade was plunged by 50%. The wholesale prices of commodities fallen by more than 30% and the agriculture sector was the worstaffected, due to a severe draught in USA, known as ‘Dust Bowl’, and many other countries. The unemployment rate in the USA rose to 25% then, and in some countries, it was even higher. That Great Depression ended with the start of the World War II, as massive productions of military material and infrastructure-building generated millions of new jobs. After the end of World War II in 1945, the USA and Soviet Union (now Russia) started to dominate the world affairs, in terms of political and economic matters. The economies of Europe and Japan, which were destroyed due to war losses, started recovering in the 1960s. In South East Asia, the countries like Malaysia, Taiwan and Singapore also started prospering, after turning themselves into the manufacturing hub, to meet the demand of consumer goods by the rich western countries. The China’s economy, under the leadership of Deng Xiaoping, went through a great turn-around in the early 1980s with its ‘open door’ policy. India also followed it in 1991, when it initiated the policy of liberalization. The fall of Soviet Union in 1989 changed the world-order again; since then, the Capitalist system of US has turned the world into a global village, where economies of the majority of Nations are inter-connected with each other intensely. An economic slowdown or major corrections nowadays in the Stocks of USA or China have a serious impact on the financial markets around the world.

After the World War II, there had been four global recessions (1975, 1982, 1991 and 2008) with all of them lasting for around one year, except the last recession of 2008-09, which lasted for 18 months and was termed as ‘Great Recession’. However, none of these four global recessions were close to that ‘Great Depression’ of 1930’s, in terms of their impact. But now an important astrological cycle of 84 years by Uranus has been completed since then, and some of the astrologers are giving predictions about downtrend in economy, which may start from 2016.

Recently I had a discussion on this topic in my meetings with a famous financial astrologer David Burton on the 18th and 19th of May at Eros Hotel in Nehru Place, New Delhi. David Burton has been practising the Charting and Cycle methods of W.D. Gann since 1980’s. David Burton gave me many of his articles, which were published in the leading trading magazine of Australia called ‘Your Trading Edge”. David Burton gave us a brief about the Cycles of Commodities used by W.D. Gann and Weather forecasting methods of Inigo Jones (a long term Weather-forecaster from Australia). He also told us that he has been forewarning about a downtrend in economy to start in 2016, along with a severe draught in USA, which will last till the end of 2019. He showed us many of his published articles on the subject. In one of his articles titled “ Astrometeorology and Commodity Markets” published in the September 2008 issue of ‘Your Trading Edge’ magazine, he had used Vedic methods of Medini Jyotish, along with Sunspots cycle, to give forecast about downtrend in economy, during the 2016-20 period. I told him that Sunspots were mentioned as ‘Tamas-Keelak’ by the great Varahamihira, two thousand years ago, in his Brihat Samhita’s third chapter title ‘Aditya-Chaar’. He showed us a diagram of W.D. Gann’s square of nine (9 x 9 = 81), about which I told him that it is similar to our ‘Sarvato- Bhadra Chakra’, which contains 81 cages.
In our meetings with David Burton, we were surprised to see how at ease he was with the principles of Vedic astrology, applicable to the Pisces New Moon chart, planetary cabinets, Solar Ingress Charts, Lunar Charts etc. ! On seeing this, I immediately drew the chart of Solar Eclipse of 9 March 2016 on my diary and showed it to him.

The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will be right at the natal Moon, which is in Kemadruma yoga, at the 7th house of war, of the USA. The transit of Saturn and Mars from the 4th house from the ascendant and 10th from its natal Moon is also very dangerous. The Mars-Mercury period ( from 16 April 2015 to 12 April 2016) is running at present in Vimshottari in the chart of USA, which will also give civil unrest to the country. The country will have to incur huge expenditure in its war against ISIS in the Middle-east; due to this, its Stock market will be crestfallen. However, the situation will not be as worst as it was in the 1930’s, during the ‘Great Depression’ then.


Solar Eclipse
Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip


Asc 10°04’ Pisces U.Bhadra
Sun 24°50’c Aquarius P.Bhadra
Moon 24°50’c Aquarius P.Bhadra
Mars 07°07’ Scorpio Anuradha
Mercury 12°05’ c Gemini Punarvasu
Jupiter 24°08’ Leo P.Phalguni
Venus 01°48’ Aquarius Dhanishta
Saturn 22°06’ Scorpio Jyeshta
Rahu 27°42’ Leo U.Phalguni
Ketu 27°42’ Aquarius P.Bhadra


I discussed with David Burton that as per the Vedic methods, there would be downtrend in economy starting in 2016, immediately after the Solar eclipse of 9th of March. This phase may last until the end of 2019; afterwards, the trend will reverse, as both Saturn and Jupiter will be conjoined together, to bring a major change in the world-order. The collapse of the Capitalist economic system in 2016 may get slowly replaced with a Socialist economic model, with India leading from the front, as the engine of global economy in 2020. In the year 2020, the Saturn-Jupiter conjunction in Capricorn will change the world’s economic and political system. It will end the phase of economic downtrend of many countries and the Indian model of development would then be the guiding force, behind the revival of global economy. Capricorn (Makar) is the Zodiacal sign of India, as per the great Varahamihira.

At the time of the Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016, the Jupiter, which is Karaka for finance and economy, is retrograde and under great affliction. Jupiter is conjoined with Rahu and receiving the close aspect from Saturn, the Karaka of economic downtrend. The square position of Saturn, Jupiter, Mars, Rahu and Ketu is a dangerous combination, as per the classics of Medini Jyotish. Adding to the misery, the long stay of Mars in Scorpio sign will make sure that there will be lots of financial as well as physical earthquakes in the world, between March to August 2016. The conjunction of Mars and Saturn in Scorpio will also bring a severe draught in USA, Canada, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Mars will be giving aspect to the eclipse point ( the degrees of luminaries at the time of eclipse) many a times in both direct and retrograde motion in Scorpio during that period.

The signs of global economic downtrend will become visible, after the entry of Rahu in Leo (Mean transit) on the 30th of January 2016. But the fortnight starting from the 9th of March will be the most destructive for the financial as well as commodities markets, around the world. Investors will get hit hardly. The shares of Banking (Jupiter), Steel and heavy industry ( Saturn) , Cotton and Automobile (Venus) , IT sector and Telecommunication (Ketu and Mercury) will be the worst-affected during this economic catastrophe.

Let us see the charts of some important nations to analyse this situation more deeply.

The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will fall at the 2/8 axis of China’s lagna and Moon, which will bring a great economic slowdown in the country. The Vimshottari period of Saturn-Rahu ( May 2014 to March 2017) is looking very dangerous. Saturn and Rahu are in 6/8 position from each other in Rasi chart. In transit, Rahu will be in Leo, over the natal Saturn of China. It is a combination of losses in war and earhquake, which may result immedately after the Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016.





USA

USA
Source: From the data of K.N.Rao

Asc 29°49’ Leo U.Phalguni
Sun 22°19’ Gemini Dhanishta
Moon 02°19’ Aquarius Dhanishta
Mars 00°27’ Gemini Mrigasira
Mercury 03°35’ Rc Cancer Pushya
Jupiter 15°08’ c Gemini Arudra
Venus 12°02’ Gemini Arudra
Saturn 24°04’ Virgo Chitra
Rahu 16°52’ Cancer Aslesha
Ketu 16°52’ Capricorn Sravana
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Mars 2 years 3 months 11 days

After the ‘Great Recession’ of 2008-09, the economy of USA is now in the mode of excellent recovery, with its GDP growing at the rate of 3.5% and the unemployement has been dropped from 10% then to 5.5% at present which is good. All these are happening during the Vimshottari dasa of Yogakaraka Mars, which started on 16th of October 2011. The US economy has shown considerable improvements since then. See the excellent placement of Mars in the 11th house of gains, where it is in great Raj yoga and Dhana yoga, in the Rasi chart of USA. In Navamsa, it is again strongly placed in the 11th house. However, Mars is in mutual aspect with the 6th lord ( debts) and 7th lord (war) Saturn, which is posing a risk for the country, to face an economic downtrend again, due to bad phase of Stock markets and losses in war.

The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will be right at the natal Moon, which is in Kemadruma yoga, at the 7th house of war, of the USA. The transit of Saturn and Mars from the 4th house from the ascendant and 10th from its natal Moon is also very dangerous. The Mars- Mercury period ( from 16 April 2015 to 12 April 2016) is running at present in Vimshottari in the chart of USA, which will also give civil unrest to the country. Mercury is in the 12th house of losses and its depositor Moon is placed in the 7th house of war. The next sub period of Ketu placed in the 6th house of strife is also bad. Racial violence is likely to intensify. The country will have to incur huge expenditure in its war against ISIS in the Middle-east; due to this, its Stock market will be crestfallen. However, the situation will not be as worst as it was in the 1930’s during the ‘Great Depression’ then. The USA is under the Vimshottari dasa of Yogakaraka Mars till 15 October 2018, which is a saving grace now, though the next mahadasa of Rahu (from October 2018 to October 2036), badly placed in the twelfth house of losses, will see the great difficulties of USA to remain as the super-power. The world-order will change again in 2020.


China

China
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Moon 9 years 11 months 23 days
Source: The book of World Horoscopes


Asc 12°45’ Capricorn Sravana
Sun 14°45’ Virgo Hasta
Moon 10°01’ Capricorn Sravana
Mars 21°44’ Cancer Aslesha
Mercury 20°13’ Re Virgo Hasta
Jupiter 29°26’ Sagittarius U.Shada
Venus 26°25’ Libra Visakha
Saturn 20°00’ Leo P.Phalguni
Rahu 23°33’ Pisces Revati
Ketu 23°33’ Virgo Chitra


In the Capricorn lagna chart of China, the lagna lord Saturn is falling in the 8th house of secrecy in an inimical sign. The lagna lord Saturn is hemmed inbetween malefic planets Mars and Ketu. It is under the aspect from 3rd lord (communication and neighbouring countries) and 12th (foreign trade and losses) lord Jupiter. These astrologically explain the nature of Chinese economy and its political afffairs that has always been kept under the ‘iron-curtain’, by its Communist regime. The economy of China is export-driven mainly, which will suffer the most, due to the fall in international trade during the coming phase of economic downtrend in 2016-2019.

The Communist regime of China has been following the policy of capital controls, to keep its people’s money within its borders. Therefore, the Chinese middle class had been investing their new wealth in Stocks and Real estate. Thus the security/shares prices started rising above their value. In China, the price/earning ratio (P/E ratio is the ratio of company’s share price to its per share earning) of Stocks has reached at an alarming height of 220, which is called a ‘bubble-like valuation’. In Real esate, the over-production has resulted into ‘ghost cities’ coming up, where most of the properties and houses are unoccupied.

The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will fall at the 2/8 axis of China’s lagna and Moon, which will bring a great economic slowdown in the country. The ‘bubble’ in the Stock market and Real estate of China will be burst, resulting in the loss huge money. The Vimshottari period of Saturn-Rahu ( May 2014 to March 2017) is looking very dangerous, as China may create border tentions with its neighbouring countries such as India, Japan and Vietnam, to divertthe attention of its people from the economic downtrend. Saturn and Rahu are in 6/8 position from each other in Rasi chart. In transit, Rahu will be in Leo, over the natal Saturn of China. It is a combination of losses in war and earhquake, which may result immedately after the Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016.

Japan

China
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Mars 0 years 7 months 13 days
Source: The book of World Horoscopes


Asc 07°19’ Sagittarius Moola
Sun 15°06’ Aries Bharani
Moon 05°29’ Gemini Mrigasira
Mars 18°08’ R Libra Swati
Mercury 19°12’ Pisces Revati
Jupiter 06°45’ c Aries Aswini
Venus 29°45’ Pisces Revati
Saturn 16°26’ R Virgo Hasta
Rahu 04°27’ Aquarius Dhanishta
Ketu 04°27’ Leo Makha


Japan has been struggling badly to come out of the effects of ‘Great Recession’ of 2008-09. Once Japan was the leading manufacturing hub of the technology goods in the world, but it has now been replaced by its neighbour China. The aging population of the country is adding to the problems, as there is a lack of young work-force and the government has to spend

The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will fall over the natal Rahu of Japan, which will lead the country into serious border-disputes with China. The economy of Japan will slip into a long spell of downtrend. Some recovery is visible, only in the year 2018, when the Jupiter antardasa will give some relief to the industries.


lots of money on social welfare schemes of elder. Today, one in four persons in Japan is 65 years or older. The major cause of this demographic change is the low birth-rate and higher life-expectancy. The Japan is under Mercury-Rahu (09 June 2015 to 26 December 2017) period in Vimshottari. Mercury is the debilitated 7th and 10th lord, which is under affliction from the retrograde Saturn. The antardasa lord Rahu is in the 3rd house of neighboring countries and border disputes. The Solar eclipse of 9 March 2016 will fall over the natal Rahu of Japan, which will lead the country into serious borderdisputes with China. There will be skirmishes between the Japanese and Chinese forces in the mid of 2016. The antardasa lord Rahu is in the 6th house of Navamsa, with debilitated Moon, which is not very helpful. So the economy of the country will slip into a long spell of downtrend. Some recovery is visible, only in the year 2018, when the Jupiter antardasa will give some relief to the industries. The country will increase the number of foreign workers, by changing the immigration laws. However, in 2020, the transiting Saturn and Jupiter will be in Capricorn, which is the 8th house from Japan’s natal Moon; so it will again put the country into an economic slow-down.

This global economic downtrend will also seriously affect the developing countries like South Africa, Brazil and Malaysia. The President of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, will face great troubles due to growing unemployment in the country. In Malaysia, the Prime Minister Najib Razak, who is facing the charges of corruption at present, will also have to resign. The unemployment rate will increase tremendously in Brazil (7 September 1822 at 16:47 hours at Rio) and in Malaysia (31 August 1957at 00:00 hours mid night Kuala Lumpur) also, where there will be riots and sectorial violence.
Among the developing Nations, India (15 August 1947 at 00:00 hours mid night, New Delhi) is going to be one of the least-affected country with this likely phenomenon of Global economic slowdown, although India will have to suffer some setbacks, due to fall in exports and decline of industrial output in the year 2016.

There will also be a severe draught in 2016, affecting the agriculture output. The scarcity of water will lead to a serious crisis in the country. But since India would be under the Vimsottari dasa of strong Moon, which is in a very good Gaja-Kesari Yoga, it will soon re-invent an economic model for itself, to overcome the effects of Global economic downtrend. The Gaja-Kesari Yoga in the chart of India will not only confer great resilience, it will also give her idealism in the policy formation. India will develop a unique economic model, which will be revolving around the development of its villages, as envisioned by Mahatama Gandhi. The dasa of Moon in the chart of India shows the development of country-side on the basis of a model that has traditional values, since Moon is in Kendra from the Jupiter. By the time, when transiting Saturn and Jupiter would be in conjunction in Capricorn (Maker) in the year 2020, the country will emerge out as an inspiration for the world-economy.


Url:http://astrologicalmusings.com
Email: Sachin.keepsmiling@gmail.com
 
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