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Global Economic Trends 2019
By Sachin Malhotra



The conjunction of Saturn, Jupiter and Ketu in Sagittarius, and the transit of Mars in Rohini Nakshara will bring rise in the prices of Crude oil and some diplomatic tensions around the world. Mars joining Rahu in the month of May will increase the prices of essential commodities and there will be fall in the Share markets around the world, due to the danger of war-like situation.


THE year 2018 will be remembered for the beginning of Trade wars between the Nations as predicted by me in "Global Economic Trends 2018" in EST January 2018, page 52. I also predicted about the skyrocketing prices of Crude oil. The same trends are likely to continue in the year 2019, with a danger of diplomatic crisis accelerating between the USA and other countries like China and Iran. Donald Trump has initiated a Trade war with China, by imposing tariff on goods import. Trump has also put sanctions on Iran, after he pulled out USA from the 'Iran Nuclear agreement" in May 2018. In May 2018, the global price of crude oil reached at 80 $ per barrel. My prediction: "The transit of Saturn from the fiery sign Sagittarius will bring tremendous fall in the production of Crude oil, leading to sharp increase in its prices. The sky-rocketing prices of Crude oil will affect the common man in developing nations like India, due to increase in the prices of essential commodities."
Now in 2019, Saturn will be joined by Ketu in the Sagittarius sign, which will further bring a rise in the prices of Crude oil. On the 23rd of March 2019, Ketu will enter the sign Sagittarius, joining Saturn there, which will later start increasing the prices of Crude oil. Jupiter also will enter Sagittarius on the 28th of March and will get retrograde in the sign on the 9th of April 2019. Mars will be in Rohini Nakshara in the month of April 2019. The conjunction of Saturn, Jupiter and Ketu in Sagittarius, along with the transit of Mars in Rohini Nakshara will bring rise in the prices of Crude oil and some diplomatic tensions around the world. Mars joining Rahu in the month of May will increase the prices of essential commodities and there will be fall in the Share markets around the world, due to the danger of war-like situation.
Now to understand this situation clearly, we will have to see the foundation chart of various nations and also study their Hindu New Year horoscopes in brief to get a precise astrological inference about the possible economic scenario in 2019.

Foundation Horoscope of USA
In the Foundation horoscope of USA, the dasa of
Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip
Source : From the data of K.N.Rao

Asc 29°49’ Leo U.Phalguni
Sun 22°19’ Gemini Punarvasu
Moon 02°19’ Aquarius Dhanishta
Mars 00°27’ Gemini Mrigasira
Mercury 03°35’ Rc Cancer Pushya
Jupiter 15°08’ c Gemini Arudra
Venus 12°02’ Gemini Arudra
Saturn 24°04’ Virgo Chitra
Rahu 16°52’ Cancer Aslesha
Ketu 16°52’ Capricorn Sravana
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Mars 2 years 3 months 11 days

Rahu-Rahu will be in operation from October 2018 to Jun 2021. Rahu is in the 12th house of the Leo (Simha) lagna horoscope of USA and its dispositor Moon is in the 7th house of war. Earlier, the economy of USA did fairly well during the mahadasa of yogakaraka Mars, in operation from October 2011 to October 2018. This was during the Presidency of Barack Obama (January 2009 to January 2017), when USA came out of the deep recession and its economy started growing more than 3% of GDP growth steadily for many years. During the Trump era, the unemployment rate decreased due to increase in the production in industry and real estate, creating more jobs. But since Trump has now aggressively pursuing the policy of protectionism and have initiated a Trade war with China, its results are likely to affect USA badly, during its Rahu mahadasa, which is placed in the 12th house of losses. The GDP growth rate of USA may fall below 3%, due to decrease in its export and manufacturing. The second half of 2019 will be particularly bad for USA, during its Rahu- Rahu-Saturn period (July 2019 to December 2019). The Saturn as the 6th lord in mutual aspect with Mars shows a danger of war in the second half of USA, which may come at loggerhead with Iran.
Crisis in WTO may create huge problems in International Trade
There is also a threat on the integrity of WTO (World Trade Organization), as Donald Trump may ignore its rulings against USA, which may come in some Trade Rules Violations case. The WTO, which serves as the international Supreme Court for trade related matters, may decide against the USA in a trade dispute with China or some other nations, which will ignite Donald Trump to go against this organization threatening its legitimacy.

Foundation Horoscope of WTO
Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip
Source: From the data of K.N.Rao

Asc 07°11’ Virgo U.Phalg
Sun 16°14’ Sagit P.Shad
Moon 09°21’c Sagit. Moola
Mars 08°59’R Leo Makha
Mercury 26°32’ c Sagit P.Shad
Jupiter 10°56’ Scoprpio Anuradha
Venus 00°10’ Scoprpio Visakha
Saturn 14°11’ Aquarius Satabhi
Rahu 19°30’ Libra Swati
Ketu 19°30’ Aries Bharani
Balance of Dasa: Ketu 2 years 1 month one day

In the Virgo lagna horoscope of WTO, the dasa of 9th and 2nd lord Venus from February 1997 to February 2017 was very good, as the organization facilitated in increasing the international trade in the last two decades. Venus in the horoscope of WTO is in good Raja Yoga with the 4th and 7th lord Jupiter. But ever since the dasa of Sun has started, which is the lord of 12th house in the horoscope of WTO, the organization is facing threats from the insane decisions by US President Donald Trump. Interestingly, it was USA, which had propounded the concept of Free Trade, after the fall of Soviet Union in 1989. The USA wanted to open the market of developing Nations for its products and service, for which he pursued these nations to join the WTO. At the time of fall of Soviet Union and communist governments in East Europe in 1989, Saturn was in Sagittarius. This was the beginning of the era of globalization, which interestingly is now under danger from none other than the USA, who is going towards policy of protectionism under the leadership of Donald Trump. Saturn is in Sagittarius again, after 30 years since 1989, when the concept of global market economy had started reaching developing Nations and communist bloc countries of Eastern Europe, who were earlier been isolated from the Capitalist West, under pressure from the Soviet Union.
Now the dasa of 12th lord Sun in the horoscope of WTO and the transit of Saturn and Ketu over the natal Moon in Sagittarius are showing a danger to the legitimacy of this organization. The USA may deliberately ignore some of the rulings of WTO, which may come in some trade violation matters, which will create a crisis in international trade and fall of stock exchange worldwide. The period of Sun-Saturn from December 2019 to November 2020 in the horoscope of WTO will be disastrous, as there will be big crisis in international trade then.

Foundation horoscope of China

Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Moon 9 years 11 months 23 days

Asc 12°45’ Capricorn Sravana
Sun 14°45’ Virgo Hasta
Moon 10°01’ Capricorn Sravana
Mars 21°44’ R Cancer Aslesha
Mercury 20°13’ Virgo Hasta
Jupiter 29°26’ Sagittarius U.Shada
Venus 26°25’ Libra Visakha
Saturn 20°00’ Leo P.Phalguni
Rahu 23°33’ Pisces Revati
Ketu 23°33’ Virgo Chitra
Source: The book of World Horoscopes

The China will be under the Vimshottari dasa of 6th (disputes) and 9th (international trades) lord Mercury, from October 2018 onwards. Mercury is in own sign Virgo, but it is retrograde also, making it strong. But the close degree conjunction of Ketu, Sun and Gulika with Mercury is not auspicious. The China may suffer some losses, due to trade war with the USA. There will be big correction in the Stock Market of China, in the early months of 2019 during the Chara dasa of Gemini-Sagittarius, operating with Atmakaraka Jupiter in Sagittarius sign. The overall GDP growth of China, may remain steady above 6%; but in 2020 when Saturn and Jupiter will reach Sagittarius, then the country may involve in war with India, which will put pressure on its economy.

Japan

Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip
Source: From the book of world horoscope.

Asc 07°19’ Sagit Moola
Sun 15°06’ Aries Bharani
Moon 05°29’ Gemini Mrigasira
Mars 18°08’ R Libra Swati
Mercury 19°12’ Pisces Revati
Jupiter 06°45’ Aries Aswini
Venus 29°45’ Pisces Revati
Saturn 16°26 R’ Virgo Hasta
Rahu 04°27’ Aquarius Dhanishta
Ketu 04°27’ Leo Makha
Balance of Dasa: Mars 0 years 7 months 13 days

In the Dhanur lagna horoscope of Japan, the Vimshottari dasa period of Mercury-Jupiter from December 2017 to April 2020 is showing progress of its economy. Earlier, the economy of Japan was struggling due to its "Aging Population". Japan, as per its population survey in 2014, has 33% of its population above the age of 65 years, which has made it one of the world's oldest societies. This had put pressure on its economic growth, due to the growing expenditure on social security and health schemes for older people. Now the sub period of lagnalord Jupiter in the 5th house along with the 9th lord Sun in mutual aspect with 5th lord Mars shows a very positive scenario for the economic growth and increase in population growth-rate of this country. Japan's population had began to decline since 2010 but now the trends are likely to get reverse, as per the dasa period in its Foundation horoscope. The sub period of Jupiter placed in its fifth house shows positive changes in its demography with growth in population rate. In Navamsa, the Jupiter is in the ascendant, giving aspect to the fifth house of population.

Foundation Chart of India

Solar Eclip     Solar Eclip
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Saturn 18 years 0 months 25


Asc 07°46’ Taurus Krittika
Sun 27°59’ Cancer Aslesha
Moon 03°59’ Cancer Pushya
Mars 07°27’ R Gemini Arudra
Mercury 1340' Cancer Pushya
Jupiter 2552' Libra Visaka
Venus 2233' c Cancer Aslesha
Saturn 2028' c Cancer Aslesha
Rahu 0544' Taurus Krittika
Ketu 0544' Scorpio Anuradha


India is the fastest growing economy of the world, growing at the rate of 7.4% and it is likely to be even better in 2019. The VimshottariDasa of Moon-Jupiter from August 2018 to December 2019 shows the astrological possibility of tremendous increase in the domestic demand, which will put India on the track of higher GDP growth. The sub period lord Jupiter is the lord of 8th and 11th houses placed in the 6th house in a 'Vipreet Raja Yoga'. This shows advancement of Indian economy, despite the adverse conditions of international trades, due to trade wars and crisis in WTO. The dasa of planet involved in Vipreet Raja Yoga give progress in the difficult circumstances. The dasa lord Moon and Jupiter are in Kendra from each other in good 'Gaja-Kesari Yoga', which will enhance the reputation of India during 2019 as a good country for investments. But there could be some big corrections in the Indian Stock markets, which is overvalued at present, during this Moon-Jupiter period in Vimshottari.
The period around May will be particularly more sensitive, as in the General Elections, the ruling BJP led NDA may not get a very comfortable majority. In the general elections of 2014, the NDA had won 340 seats with BJP getting 282 which was a record since 1984, when Rajive Gandhi had won the general elections with thumping majority, riding on the sympathy wave, after the death of his mother Indira Gandhi. In 1984 and 2014, Saturn was transiting Libra, the sign of its exaltation. The Saturn is the lord of 10th house in the Foundation chart of India, signifying Central government. In 1989, the Rajiv Gandhi lost the General Elections, when the transit Saturn was in Sagittarius the 8th house of the Foundation chart of India. Now Saturn is in Sagittarius again, and there may be fall of Stock exchanges in India in the months of May-June in the apprehension of a weak coalition government at the Centre. The sub period of 8th lord Jupiter in the Foundation chart of India and the transit of 10th lord Saturn in the 8th house along with Ketu might give surprise fall in the Stock market around May- June 2019. Since the sub period lord Jupiter aspects the 10th house in Rasi chart, the current government will return back to power, but with much weaker coalition, always struggling in the parliament which will give some shivers to the stock market investors expecting higher returns.
 
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