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Global Economic Trends 2019
By
Sachin Malhotra
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The conjunction of Saturn, Jupiter and Ketu in Sagittarius, and the transit of Mars in Rohini
Nakshara will bring rise in the prices of Crude oil and some diplomatic tensions around the
world. Mars joining Rahu in the month of May will increase the prices of essential commodities
and there will be fall in the Share markets around the world, due to the danger of war-like
situation. |
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THE year 2018 will be remembered for the
beginning of Trade wars between the Nations
as predicted by me in "Global Economic Trends
2018" in EST January 2018, page 52. I also predicted
about the skyrocketing prices of Crude oil. The same
trends are likely to continue in the year 2019, with a
danger of diplomatic crisis accelerating between the
USA and other countries like China and Iran. Donald
Trump has initiated a Trade war with China, by
imposing tariff on goods import. Trump has also put
sanctions on Iran, after he pulled out USA from the
'Iran Nuclear agreement" in May 2018. In May 2018,
the global price of crude oil reached at 80 $ per barrel.
My prediction: "The transit of Saturn from the fiery
sign Sagittarius will bring tremendous fall in the
production of Crude oil, leading to sharp increase
in its prices. The sky-rocketing prices of Crude
oil will affect the common man in developing
nations like India, due to increase in the prices
of essential commodities."
Now in 2019, Saturn will be joined by Ketu in the
Sagittarius sign, which will further bring a rise in the
prices of Crude oil. On the 23rd of March 2019, Ketu
will enter the sign Sagittarius, joining Saturn there,
which will later start increasing the prices of Crude
oil. Jupiter also will enter Sagittarius on the 28th of
March and will get retrograde in the sign on the 9th
of April 2019. Mars will be in Rohini Nakshara in the
month of April 2019. The conjunction of Saturn,
Jupiter and Ketu in Sagittarius, along with the transit
of Mars in Rohini Nakshara will bring rise in the
prices of Crude oil and some diplomatic tensions
around the world. Mars joining Rahu in the month of
May will increase the prices of essential commodities
and there will be fall in the Share markets around the
world, due to the danger of war-like situation.
Now to understand this situation clearly, we will have
to see the foundation chart of various nations and
also study their Hindu New Year horoscopes in brief
to get a precise astrological inference about the
possible economic scenario in 2019.
Foundation Horoscope of USA
In the Foundation horoscope of USA, the dasa of
Source : From the data of K.N.Rao
| Asc |
29°49’ |
Leo |
U.Phalguni |
| Sun |
22°19’ |
Gemini |
Punarvasu |
| Moon |
02°19’ |
Aquarius |
Dhanishta |
| Mars |
00°27’ |
Gemini |
Mrigasira |
| Mercury |
03°35’ Rc |
Cancer |
Pushya |
| Jupiter |
15°08’ c |
Gemini |
Arudra |
| Venus |
12°02’ |
Gemini |
Arudra |
| Saturn |
24°04’ |
Virgo |
Chitra |
| Rahu |
16°52’ |
Cancer |
Aslesha |
| Ketu |
16°52’ |
Capricorn |
Sravana |
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Mars 2 years 3 months 11 days
Rahu-Rahu will be in operation from October 2018
to Jun 2021. Rahu is in the 12th house of the Leo
(Simha) lagna horoscope of USA and its dispositor
Moon is in the 7th house of war. Earlier, the economy
of USA did fairly well during the mahadasa of
yogakaraka Mars, in operation from October 2011 to
October 2018. This was during the Presidency of
Barack Obama (January 2009 to January 2017),
when USA came out of the deep recession and its
economy started growing more than 3% of GDP
growth steadily for many years. During the Trump
era, the unemployment rate decreased due to increase
in the production in industry and real estate, creating
more jobs. But since Trump has now aggressively
pursuing the policy of protectionism and have initiated
a Trade war with China, its results are likely to affect USA badly, during its Rahu mahadasa, which is placed
in the 12th house of losses. The GDP growth rate of
USA may fall below 3%, due to decrease in its export
and manufacturing. The second half of 2019 will
be particularly bad for USA, during its Rahu-
Rahu-Saturn period (July 2019 to December
2019). The Saturn as the 6th lord in mutual aspect
with Mars shows a danger of war in the second half
of USA, which may come at loggerhead with Iran.
Crisis in WTO may create huge problems in
International Trade
There is also a threat on the integrity of WTO (World
Trade Organization), as Donald Trump may ignore
its rulings against USA, which may come in some
Trade Rules Violations case. The WTO, which serves
as the international Supreme Court for trade related
matters, may decide against the USA in a trade
dispute with China or some other nations, which will
ignite Donald Trump to go against this organization
threatening its legitimacy.
Foundation Horoscope of WTO
Source: From the data of K.N.Rao
| Asc |
07°11’ |
Virgo |
U.Phalg |
| Sun |
16°14’ |
Sagit |
P.Shad |
| Moon |
09°21’c |
Sagit. |
Moola |
| Mars |
08°59’R |
Leo |
Makha |
| Mercury |
26°32’ c |
Sagit |
P.Shad |
| Jupiter |
10°56’ |
Scoprpio |
Anuradha |
| Venus |
00°10’ |
Scoprpio |
Visakha |
| Saturn |
14°11’ |
Aquarius |
Satabhi |
| Rahu |
19°30’ |
Libra |
Swati |
| Ketu |
19°30’ |
Aries |
Bharani |
Balance of Dasa: Ketu 2 years 1 month one day
In the Virgo lagna horoscope of WTO, the dasa of
9th and 2nd lord Venus from February 1997 to February
2017 was very good, as the organization facilitated in
increasing the international trade in the last two
decades. Venus in the horoscope of WTO is in good Raja Yoga with the 4th and 7th lord Jupiter. But ever
since the dasa of Sun has started, which is the lord of
12th house in the horoscope of WTO, the organization
is facing threats from the insane decisions by US
President Donald Trump. Interestingly, it was USA,
which had propounded the concept of Free Trade,
after the fall of Soviet Union in 1989. The USA
wanted to open the market of developing Nations for
its products and service, for which he pursued these
nations to join the WTO. At the time of fall of Soviet
Union and communist governments in East Europe
in 1989, Saturn was in Sagittarius. This was the
beginning of the era of globalization, which
interestingly is now under danger from none other
than the USA, who is going towards policy of
protectionism under the leadership of Donald Trump.
Saturn is in Sagittarius again, after 30 years since
1989, when the concept of global market economy
had started reaching developing Nations and
communist bloc countries of Eastern Europe, who
were earlier been isolated from the Capitalist West,
under pressure from the Soviet Union.
Now the dasa of 12th lord Sun in the horoscope of
WTO and the transit of Saturn and Ketu over the
natal Moon in Sagittarius are showing a danger to
the legitimacy of this organization. The USA may
deliberately ignore some of the rulings of WTO,
which may come in some trade violation matters,
which will create a crisis in international trade and
fall of stock exchange worldwide. The period of
Sun-Saturn from December 2019 to November
2020 in the horoscope of WTO will be
disastrous, as there will be big crisis in
international trade then.
Foundation horoscope of China
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Moon 9 years 11 months 23 days
| Asc |
12°45’ |
Capricorn |
Sravana |
| Sun |
14°45’ |
Virgo |
Hasta |
| Moon |
10°01’ |
Capricorn |
Sravana |
| Mars |
21°44’ R |
Cancer |
Aslesha |
| Mercury |
20°13’ |
Virgo |
Hasta |
| Jupiter |
29°26’ |
Sagittarius |
U.Shada |
| Venus |
26°25’ |
Libra |
Visakha |
| Saturn |
20°00’ |
Leo |
P.Phalguni |
| Rahu |
23°33’ |
Pisces |
Revati |
| Ketu |
23°33’ |
Virgo |
Chitra |
The China will be under the Vimshottari dasa of 6th
(disputes) and 9th (international trades) lord Mercury,
from October 2018 onwards. Mercury is in own sign
Virgo, but it is retrograde also, making it strong. But the close degree conjunction of Ketu, Sun and Gulika
with Mercury is not auspicious. The China may suffer
some losses, due to trade war with the USA. There
will be big correction in the Stock Market of China,
in the early months of 2019 during the Chara dasa of
Gemini-Sagittarius, operating with Atmakaraka Jupiter
in Sagittarius sign. The overall GDP growth of China,
may remain steady above 6%; but in 2020 when
Saturn and Jupiter will reach Sagittarius, then the
country may involve in war with India, which will put
pressure on its economy.
Japan
Source: From the book of world horoscope.
| Asc |
07°19’ |
Sagit |
Moola |
| Sun |
15°06’ |
Aries |
Bharani |
| Moon |
05°29’ |
Gemini |
Mrigasira |
| Mars |
18°08’ R |
Libra |
Swati |
| Mercury |
19°12’ |
Pisces |
Revati |
| Jupiter |
06°45’ |
Aries |
Aswini |
| Venus |
29°45’ |
Pisces |
Revati |
| Saturn |
16°26 R’ |
Virgo |
Hasta |
| Rahu |
04°27’ |
Aquarius |
Dhanishta |
| Ketu |
04°27’ |
Leo |
Makha |
Balance of Dasa: Mars 0 years 7 months 13 days
In the Dhanur lagna horoscope of Japan, the
Vimshottari dasa period of Mercury-Jupiter from
December 2017 to April 2020 is showing progress of
its economy. Earlier, the economy of Japan was struggling due to its "Aging Population". Japan, as
per its population survey in 2014, has 33% of its
population above the age of 65 years, which has made
it one of the world's oldest societies. This had put
pressure on its economic growth, due to the growing
expenditure on social security and health schemes
for older people. Now the sub period of lagnalord
Jupiter in the 5th house along with the 9th lord Sun in
mutual aspect with 5th lord Mars shows a very
positive scenario for the economic growth and
increase in population growth-rate of this
country. Japan's population had began to decline since
2010 but now the trends are likely to get reverse, as
per the dasa period in its Foundation horoscope. The
sub period of Jupiter placed in its fifth house
shows positive changes in its demography with
growth in population rate. In Navamsa, the Jupiter
is in the ascendant, giving aspect to the fifth house of
population.
Foundation Chart of India
Balance of Dasa in Vimshottari: Saturn 18 years 0 months 25
| Asc |
07°46’ |
Taurus |
Krittika |
| Sun |
27°59’ |
Cancer |
Aslesha |
| Moon |
03°59’ |
Cancer |
Pushya |
| Mars |
07°27’ R |
Gemini |
Arudra |
| Mercury |
13°40' |
Cancer |
Pushya |
| Jupiter |
25°52' |
Libra |
Visaka |
| Venus |
22°33' c |
Cancer |
Aslesha |
| Saturn |
20°28' c |
Cancer |
Aslesha |
| Rahu |
05°44' |
Taurus |
Krittika |
| Ketu |
05°44' |
Scorpio |
Anuradha |
India is the fastest growing economy of the world,
growing at the rate of 7.4% and it is likely to be even
better in 2019. The VimshottariDasa of Moon-Jupiter
from August 2018 to December 2019 shows the
astrological possibility of tremendous increase in the
domestic demand, which will put India on the track
of higher GDP growth. The sub period lord Jupiter is the lord of 8th and 11th houses placed in the 6th
house in a 'Vipreet Raja Yoga'. This shows
advancement of Indian economy, despite the
adverse conditions of international trades, due to
trade wars and crisis in WTO. The dasa of planet
involved in Vipreet Raja Yoga give progress in the
difficult circumstances. The dasa lord Moon and
Jupiter are in Kendra from each other in good
'Gaja-Kesari Yoga', which will enhance the
reputation of India during 2019 as a good country
for investments. But there could be some big
corrections in the Indian Stock markets, which is
overvalued at present, during this Moon-Jupiter
period in Vimshottari.
The period around May will be particularly more
sensitive, as in the General Elections, the ruling
BJP led NDA may not get a very comfortable
majority. In the general elections of 2014, the NDA
had won 340 seats with BJP getting 282 which
was a record since 1984, when Rajive Gandhi had
won the general elections with thumping majority,
riding on the sympathy wave, after the death of his mother Indira Gandhi. In 1984 and 2014, Saturn
was transiting Libra, the sign of its exaltation. The
Saturn is the lord of 10th house in the Foundation
chart of India, signifying Central government. In
1989, the Rajiv Gandhi lost the General Elections,
when the transit Saturn was in Sagittarius the 8th
house of the Foundation chart of India. Now Saturn
is in Sagittarius again, and there may be fall of Stock
exchanges in India in the months of May-June in
the apprehension of a weak coalition government
at the Centre. The sub period of 8th lord Jupiter in
the Foundation chart of India and the transit of 10th
lord Saturn in the 8th house along with Ketu might
give surprise fall in the Stock market around May-
June 2019. Since the sub period lord Jupiter aspects
the 10th house in Rasi chart, the current government
will return back to power, but with much weaker
coalition, always struggling in the parliament which
will give some shivers to the stock market investors
expecting higher returns.
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